Divisional Picks

I have finally recovered from Wildcard weekend. Now maybe everything will get back to normal. Who knew the Seahawks actually had a defense? Who thought that Eli could actually win a playoff game? I'm serious. Or perhaps they are winning because Shockey isn't there. Everyone thought they were doomed when he went down but they have looked so much better without him. They are like the Tracy McGrady-less Rockets - they have gone 6-2 since he got injured. See I do know about something besides football. Just don't tell anyone it might ruin my reputation.

I lived in Maine for three years and you know what; I absolutely loved it. I would go back there in the drop of hat - that is if I could find a job in my field up there. I'm serious. I am a native Texan but I fell in love with New England, not the Patriots of course. I learned how to ski. I went hiking in Acadia National Park. The one thing I did not get a chance to learn was ice fishing. Being a Texan I was always leery about driving your truck out onto some ice that you have no idea how thick it is. I just never trusted it, but knew tons of people who did. I loved the snow. My dog loved it. If my oldest son was old enough he would have enjoyed it (We moved back to Texas when he was 7 months old - and that's a whole ‘nuther blog). One thing that did suck was that our house had a short driveway and every time the snow plow went by our car would get covered back up. I think all snow plow drivers are sadistic. They wait at the end of the street and wait for you to finish shoveling out the driveway and clearing your car. Then when you go inside to get your coffee you hear the tell-tale scraping sound getting closer and closer. You run out of the house to move you car but you get there too late. The plow has gone by and your car and driveway are once again covered with snow. And you swear you hear an evil laugh as the plow driver continues working his way down the street just waiting for you to clear your car.

The best part of living there was watching car after car trying to make it up the snow and ice covered street on a hill by my house. Literally, cars would wait their turn to try it. One car would make it about halfway and slide back down. Then the next car in line would try. It was very amusing. What made it worse was when one car somehow made it to the top and that would just motivate the other drivers all the more - even the ones who had previously failed. It was great to watch, until I decided to try it one time. My wife still reminds me of that. Of course, that's what wives are for right? To remind their husbands of their occasional bouts of stupidity.

So how does this boring story relate to football?

Saturday

Seahawks @ Packers - Well, it won't exactly be frozen tundra, just very cold tundra. I thought it was supposed to snow in Wisconsin in January. The Hawks showed some muscle last week on defense. They did a great job getting to Collins. But the question is - can they get to Favre the same way? I'm not so sure they can. How many of you remember the Green Bay - Detroit game? Favre played the dink and dunk game to perfection and if Seattle tries to blitz Favre he will eat them alive with the short game. (Oh and thanks to Dr. Z for jogging my memory about that game) I think that defensively the Hawks can hang with the Pack. I think that offense will be their death knell. Alexander is running scared and Hasselbeck has a gimpy throwing hand. This is not a good combination. I think that Seattle will try to drive their truck onto what they thought was frozen tundra only to make a fool of themselves and have to call the tow truck for a little help. It will be a valiant effort by the Hawks, but in the end, the Packers will be the tow truck escorting Seattle out of the stadium.

Jags @ Pats - This game is fairly simple to break down. The Jags are hurting in a big way on defense and that does not bode well when you trying to slow down the juggernaut known as the Pats offense. Their offense is efficient and runs quite smoothly. They have the running game to be able to sustain long time eating clocks. But they also have to be able to throw much better than last week and I just don't think Garrard has it in him. As much as most people want to think Jax will take them to the limit, everyone needs to picture the sadistic snow plow driver. Once he gets going there is no stopping it. He may toy around with some people, but in the end everything in his way winds up buried under a heap of snow. Give me the Pats in a surprisingly not close game.

Sunday

Chargers @ Colts - The Chargers have a history of always playing the Colts tough. Heck they even beat them earlier this year. Granted the Colts had a M*A*S*H. unit set up on the sidelines and Manning had to use hot dog vendors for his receivers and they still almost won - but they didn't. It was the old Al Davis mantra "Just win baby" in that game. Flash forward a few weeks. LT struggled against an inferior Titans teams. Rivers, well he was his typical self. Great as long as he gets time, but folds under pressure. This time Indy is mostly healthy, (I still have a hard time believing Harrison will play), and their defense is much faster and much better than in years past. Without looking it up, where did Indy's defense finish this season? They still have a high-powered offense. What does all this mean? It means that SD will start climbing the icy hill and almost make it only to slide back down. They will try to climb it again, and again will wind up at the bottom. They may even make it to the top, but in the end they don't have the horsepower to get it up and keep it up. This will be a closer game than I am making it out to be - for about 3 quarters then the Colts will put them away.

Giants at Cowboys - This is the only game most people are saying is ripe for the upset. Here are the reasons that I have rounded up:

  1. Romo can't handle the playoffs
  2. Romo has choked down the stretch
  3. Jessica Simpson
  4. Wade Philips can't win a playoff game
  5. The Giants have all the momentum
  6. The Giants are greatly improved
  7. The Giants have a brutal running game

These are all mostly valid reasons, but they won't wash. The Cowboys have a decent running back last time I checked. Jessica Simpson has no effect on a game. Romo has improved overall this season. But there is one thing the Giants have that the Cowboys don't and that's Eli. I will give him credit; he did play a heck of game last week despite the first quarter. He wasn't superb because he did make some very bad throws. Eli won't lose this game by himself, but he won't win it by himself either. The Cowboys have a better pass rush - yes I said it. Ellis and Ware combined for more sacks than any other team mates in the league (26.5 combined compare to 22 for Strahan-Umyiora). In fact, Ware was only a ½ sack behind Kerney in the NFC. If Newman is healthy he is a great corner and Henry is no slouch either. The one thing Eli can't "feel" coming is a rush. He has no pocket presence. That's one reason you see them run so much play-action - to slow down the rush. Ellis and Ware are like the snow plow you hear coming down the street. You know it's coming and you know that it will have to stop at some point and get a new line. But inevitably it will keep coming and cover up your freshly shoveled driveway regardless of how fast you run out of the house. I will take the Cowboys (duh) in a good old fashioned NFC East brawl. Quick trivia question - when was the last time the Giants and Cowboys squared off in the playoffs?

See, I told I could relate a boring story to football. Sorry you had to endure that.

Here's a warning to everyone - be sure to check out my other blogs on The FanNation Community and soon to be on the Draftnicks Notepad.

Thanks for reading.

SeaHAWKS
CowBOYS
ColTS
JagUARS

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I dont know why anyone would want to live where it snows in the winter. Snow for me has always been something nice to visit and play in, but then you get in the car and drive 2 hours back to normalcy.

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This momentum talk about Eli is getting old. He bucked the odds and had 2 good games in a row. If the Dallas D plays the way they are capable of, and mind you they are playing at home, Eli wont have 3 in a row. If he did, we would have a certified trend on our hands and I just dont see that happening.
Great blog as usual IB.

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SeaHAWKS
CowBOYS
ColTS
JagUARS

efbasketball51 Ollie Williams | 01/10/08

*gasps*

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Packers is the easy safe pick, but after watching a much younger and raw Seahawks team take Farve and Co into overtime in the 2003 playoffs and come up just short, I think revenge is in order and you know the old Walrus on the sideline is going to have something special for Farve up his sleeve. I say Seahawks is our best chance to see an upset.

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Yeah Trace, I think the whole Eli thing is kinda old too, and I dont think it matters in this game how great or just good Eli is because I think this is Dallas' game to win or lose based on mistakes or lack thereof. Dallas has done a lot of shooting themselves in the foot lately, but with this much rest and prep I dont see them coming out flat or sloppy. If the G-men do win, it is because Big D and Tony R fumbled and/or picked their way out of the next round. Dallas should win by at least 7.

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I agree with you ie on the Jags getting blown out. What is there to analyze but not enough offense vs. way too much offense?

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Your right Cass, If the Giants manage to win this game its because Dallas gives it to them.

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I agree with you ie on the Jags getting blown out. What is there to analyze but not enough offense vs. way too much offense?

Cassidy's House | 01/10/08


Brady is gonna throw all over them. Forecast is for clear and 38 degrees with low to no wind at gametime.

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Lets see.....Peyton throws 6 picks and the Chargers get two kick returns for scores and they only win by 2 AT HOME? Considering this game is a roady and I will take Peyton over Rivers in a big playoff dome game 8 days a week.

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Romo just cant hold onto the ball too long like he is used to because he thinks he can scramble his way out of every jam and hit receivers while he is on the run. The Giants ferocious pass rush from the ends Strahan and Oki will make him revisit his FARLUH commercial where he is swarmed under by the Big Blue.

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Jags aren't winning; their D-line is beat up bad and Brady will have all day to pick apart their secondary.

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Romo just cant hold onto the ball too long like he is used to because he thinks he can scramble his way out of every jam and hit receivers while he is on the run. The Giants ferocious pass rush from the ends Strahan and Oki will make him revisit his FARLUH commercial where he is swarmed under by the Big Blue.

Cassidy's House | 01/10/08

Let's just see if they run the barbarian the way they should. Marion should end up the MVP of this game.

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Cool. You named 2 groups I'm in. I like your picks. I do think the whole Jess Simpson and Giants momentum is overblown. But we'll see Sunday.

As for the Jags, I can only hope they slow the Pats down enough to make the following week challenging.

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Manning had to use hot dog vendors as his recievers...too funny.I hope they lose because i would rather see the Pats face the Chargers than the Colts.I was thinking how these are all must see games this weekend,but if i did have to actually get off the couch for some reason,the game that i could live with missing a little of is the Packers and Seahawks.I think i spelled everything right.

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Packers is the easy safe pick, but after watching a much younger and raw Seahawks team take Farve and Co into overtime in the 2003 playoffs and come up just short, I think revenge is in order and you know the old Walrus on the sideline is going to have something special for Farve up his sleeve. I say Seahawks is our best chance to see an upset.

Cassidy's House | 01/10/08

2003 playoffs...Gee, that was like 4 years ago...you think they would've gotten over it by now.

2003 the Seahawks were a young team....not this time..GB is the younger team...Kerney only has 3 sacks away from home and only 1 of those on natural grass and he's going against Mark Tauscher.

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Anyway, here is what I hope:

Packers
Giants
Bolts
Jags

Here is what I think:

Packers
'Boys
Colts
Pats

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the cowboys and the gaint have NEVER PLAYED IN THE PLAYOFFS and i cant wait to watch dallas kich the $*it out of the gaints

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Here's my favorite line "but in the end they don't have the horsepower to get it up and keep it up."

Sounds like the Chargers need Cialis. The game could end with Rivers and LT in bath tubs at the top of a hill.

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My lord BigBen would have a field day with Anderson61074 up there.

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