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  • October 25, 2007 10:51 AM ET

Women R US Group Inaugural Throwdown Tourney-THE CHICAGO BEARS WILL BEAT THE DETROIT LIONS THIS SUNDAY

Cassidy: U Know Ur a Redneck (136-91-9) vs Kari - DaPrez (0-1-0)
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The Bears for the very most part play better football AT HOME.

The Lions for the most part play terrible outdoors on grass unless they play the Raiders(witness how the Redskins manhandled them in week 5)

Griese is a good game manager and will NOT lose games for the Bears like Rex Grossman did earlier in the year.

Jon Kitna is just not the same QB on the road outdoors. His accuracy is off and the lack of a great running game has teams blitzing his grill on every passing down.

The Bears are back now that they dont have their hands tied behind their back offensively.


I picked the Lions over the Bears for two primary reasons: the Bears D is struggling this year, and the offensive situation is just not stable.

The D continually allows offenses to drive down the field and score, and it appears that as the game goes on, they are wearing down.

Griese is a good game manager, but the running game is off, and there are problems with the receivers, as well.

When these teams met earlier this year, the Lions actually out-rushed the Bears 95 yds to 69 yds, meaning Kitna will manage game time more efficently.

Most disturbing is that the Bears have been out-rushed throughout the season.


The Bears D may be struggling, but it takes an offensive as dynamic as the Cowboys to expose it. The Bears D was good enough to beat the Ealges on the road last week, so it will easily be good enough to hold the Lions in check this week.

Cedric Benson will have his way with the Lions run defense, and remember, it took the Lions 34 4th quarter points to beat the Bears last time and that definately wont happen again.

The Lions have no running game.


The Lions don't have much of a running game, but it's still better than the Bears running game (the Lions average 85.5 yards per game; the Bears average 81.1).

The Lions passing game is better right now, too. The Lions are currently ranked 7th in the league for offensive passing yards (game average 243.0), the Bears are 13th at a game average of 220.6.

Do you really think that it took Dallas to expose the Bears D issues? I've been thinking that the D has been off all season.

Bottom line: it's going to be a low scoring game, but the Lions will win.


The Lions have had a better passing game all season(dont forget Rex was Bears QB for the most part) so that opened up more opportunities for them to run. Now that Griese is a legitimate passing threat, look for the holes for Benson to magically open up now.

Like I said, the Bears passing is skewed cuz they had Rex back there for most of the season. Now that Griese is there it opens up all sorts of possiblities for Bears passing options.

The Bears dominated the Chargers offense in week 1 and only a couple late TDs by LT and Rex only getting 3 lousy points cost the Bears the game 14-3. The Bears D has been respectable but not dominate as in years past because Rex couldnt move the ball and the Bears D was on the field the whole game which wears even the best defenses down.


Okay, I will grant you that the stats are slanted slightly due to Rex being the starter for the first three games.

Griese is a great passer but the Bears receivers have been dropping balls like they are greased pigs. Even perfectly placed throws mean nothing if they aren't caught.

As far as Benson goes, his biggest problem is that he can't actually find the holes that the O-line opens up. He tends to think that he can over-power the D-Line and thus gets fewer yards with each run.

The situation is stabilizing in Chicago, but I still think that the offense can???t make the big plays consistently, which starts a domino effect (as you pointed out, Cass): lower Time of Possession equals more time with the D on the field, which equals greater fatigue, which equals more points for the opponent.

Comments (35) Add A Comment

October 25, 2007  12:11 PM ET
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This gams is a toss up. The Bears easily should have lost last week, and they lost to the Vikings at home just two weeks ago. The Lions have played well, albeit at home, and have been totally exposed on the road, having been outscored something like 89-24 in two road games. I really don't see a clear cut favorite for this one.

October 25, 2007  12:11 PM ET
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Lions Suck, they gave the coach a gatorade bath after the 4th win...4th win!!! i go with Chicago on this one.

now Cassidy, the more interesting debate is if you give a point spread....then we make it interesting.

October 25, 2007  12:13 PM ET
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with Rex I would have to go with Detroit, but Griese will handle them nicely.

October 25, 2007  12:15 PM ET
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The Vegas spread for this game opened at Bears -5 and has since gone up to -5 1/2, but since I dont gamble I could care less. There have been so many upsets this year its ridiculous to say a team will win because they are favored.

October 25, 2007  12:21 PM ET
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Don't forget, Chicago has already played Detroit this season, and it was Griese's first start. His game management has improved every game since then, but I still have a gut feeling that the Lions are going to prevail.

October 25, 2007  12:25 PM ET
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So since Griese's game management has improved every game since then, why dont you see it culminating in a Bears victory this Sunday? It took the Lions 34 freakin 4th quarter points to beat the Bears last time. Dont count on such charity this game on the road.

October 25, 2007  12:33 PM ET
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I'm not sold on the Lions, just yet.

October 25, 2007  12:44 PM ET
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Griese's receivers caught enough balls last week on the road victory over Eagles to convince me that they will be okay going up against that toothless Lions defense this weekend.

The Lions have no D-line of significance so most likely there will be nobody there for him to overpower except gaping holes.

The Lions defense is not the type to keep the Bears O on the sidelines, believe me.

October 25, 2007  12:58 PM ET
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The favorite is winning 65% of the time this year. Same as every year. Don't just guess on your facts Cassidy.

October 25, 2007  12:59 PM ET
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I've got to tell you guys...honestly, the Bears fan in me hopes that I'm wrong. I'd love to see them win.

It's just that I've seen every Bears game this season, and they are not consistent on either offense or defense. And after years of watching the Bears...that little voice in my head is saying that they are just not there yet.

October 25, 2007  01:01 PM ET
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65% winning pct for the FAVORITE? Gee ram, thanks for just making my point.

Kari, the Bears may not be there yet, but the Lions will never get there, FYI.

October 25, 2007  01:05 PM ET
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"There have been so many upsets this year its ridiculous to say a team will win because they are favored."

Cassidy's House | 10/25/07

That's just dumb. It is not ridiculous to win to say a team will win because they are favored.

October 25, 2007  01:10 PM ET
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do what?

October 25, 2007  01:14 PM ET
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Two posts up from my comment about favorites someone asked me what I thought about point spreads, and I openly admitted I dont gamble and could care less. But to be real, if 35% of the time the underdog wins, that is far from a safe assumption that just because you are favored people should expect you to win in todays NFL. Ask anyone on this site how they are doing on their weekly NFL picks(without point spreads) and the best of the best are only picking winners at a 65% clip. Favorites lose FREQUENTLY in the NFL, especially this year.
I can name three from last week top of my head: Bills, Broncos, Bears
Week 6: Vikings, Titans, Panthers, Saints, all underdogs at kickoff
Week 5: Chargers, Bears, Cardinals, Jags
Do I really need to list all the upsets in weeks 1-4 ram, or are you going to get off your high goat?

October 25, 2007  01:14 PM ET
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Da Bears. And ramdrum thats college not pro Da bears!

October 25, 2007  01:16 PM ET
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I maintain, there are no more upsets this year than in any other. Listing all of the upsets won't change that.

October 25, 2007  01:17 PM ET
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No, 65% is the NFL--this year.

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October 25, 2007  01:30 PM ET
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That isnt going out on a limb when they are facing the Lions offense that turns into high school cheerleaders on the road except against the Raiders(did you see the Lions not even show up for that game against the Skins at FedEx a couple weeks ago? Pathetic)

 
October 25, 2007  01:31 PM ET
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Against the Eagles, also. The road is not a friendly place for them.

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